State of the logs

I remembered to check my site statistics tonight, and as usual they make amusingly incomprehensible reading. Quernstone.com served 63,264 pages last year, with a startlingly linear growth; Jan 2004 alone was almost 10,000 page requests. These look like big numbers, but in the grand scheme of things really aren’t.

The referrer and search reports are particularly bizarre. 5% of my readership is the Google crawler robot; another 5-10% is comprised of altavista, inktomi, and others. Lots of people arrive here while looking for bicycle reviews (indeed, so did my chum Derek, which surprised the hell out of both of us). But the most popular inbound search is ‘Eddie Mair.’ So I checked – and sure enough, there I am in positions five and 6 in the Google search. Right above his agent, for heaven’s sake!

There’s a clear conclusion: the way to secure a huge online readership is to start an Eddie Mair fan club. It should exist anyway.

On rigour

Interesting problem, one’s response to the report of The Hutton Inquiry. Personally, I have much to thank it for, since there’s a situation in the office with a rather similar root problem. No, I’m not talking about the death of a senior civil servant, nor the (evident lack of) WMD and their use as a pretext to war. I refer to the problem of terminology. Specifically, the word ‘proof.’

It strikes me that Hutton’s problem is that he’s a law lord: his entire career has been immersed in very strict definitions of ‘truth’ – specifically, ‘beyond reasonable doubt’ and ‘in the balance of probability,’ and their legal use. But investigative reporting does not share the same definitions; the nature of ‘truth’ is indeed malleable, insofar as the precise interpretation of the phrase changes. In law, truth is established through evidence, and in the absence of evidence speculation holds no sway. But to a journalist the world need not be so black and white. Faced with a huge story and the same evidence Gilligan had, I think most journalists would publish. Gilligan was sloppy about it, which is where it gets gnarly – though how Hutton’s remit covered interpretations of journalistic practice, I’ve no idea – but the decision to publish itself seems to me perfectly reasonable and respectable.

Hutton appears to be suggesting that Gilligan should not have published without far more significant evidence. That’s a lawyer’s interpretation of Gilligan’s role, and it’s simply not correct. Gilligan reported (badly…) rumours, atmosphere, a general air of lacking support. These are the sorts of things with which a judge should not have to deal. Was it in the public interest to run the story? Hell, yes. Even – and here’s the nub that Hutton is not equipped to understand – even if the story subsequently turned out to be untrue. Surely you have to allow for that sort of error if you believe in a free press? And if you don’t, what the hell are you doing as a law lord?

Now, my own definition of ‘proof’ is different again, since I was trained as a hard scientist. Actually, ‘proof’ is a somewhat alien concept for me, as is ‘truth.’ I’m happy to evaluate the validity of an hypothesis, based on available evidence – but that shouldn’t lead me to take a view on ‘the truth.’ And ‘proved’ is right out: I can demonstrate that a proposition is incorrect, but proving that it’s right is, usually, not possible. A little philosophy is a dangerous thing. As is a little statistics: I’m equally happy with numerical evidence, but that’s still different to a civil court’s ‘balance of probabilities.’

At work, we’ve been involved with a new children’s series being made by another company, and I’ve been struggling to work out why it rings so many alarm bells. Thanks to Hutton, I’ve realised that it’s down to the surprisingly ill-defined notions of ‘proof’ and ‘the truth’.

The new show sets out to prove or disprove postulates. The worry is that most of the time it may do no such thing – it might demonstrate their plausibility/validity or lack thereof, but will there be hard proof by any scientific or legal interpretation? Colloquially, however, there quite likely will be ‘proof’. Is that enough?

The series could well be an absolute hoot, and kids might love it. That may be enough to classify it as a raging success, but I worry I might be cringing. One of our stated aims is ‘to touch children’s lives, for the rest of their lives.’ OK, so another of our stated aims is to get as many of the blighters watching as possible so we can sell advertising space and recoup the cost of the show, but the former still stands: we do have a public service remit (yes, ITV does – yes, we pay a fortune in broadcasting license fees for this honour – no, that’s ITV paying, not you, we don’t get a penny of the TV license fee). We’re not here to educate per se, but we are charged with doing the right thing by our viewers.

In my book, that means being positively Victorian about setting a good example. We can be subtle about it, we needn’t draw attention to it, but we still have to be rigorous. I think the makers of this new series do understand that, on some level, and I’m hopeful that the series will be both a heap of fun and adequately thorough. But it’s worth reminding ourselves of the consequences of our being wrong. Overdramatic as it may sound, we risk missing the opportunity of exposing a generation of children to a higher standard of thinking. As a result, some will end up as sloppy as the rest of us.

Hutton’s sloppy thinking seriously threatens the BBC, and investigative journalism in general. I wonder what he watched as a kid?

Ooh, look at the pretty fermionic condensate!

A new form of matter, huh? Typical, you wait for ages, then… actually, come to think of it, Bose-Einstein Condensates were a while back.

This is interesting stuff, a sort of ‘best of both’ of a BEC and a Cooper Pair. As I recall (and it’s been a decade, so cut me some slack here…), a BEC is akin to superfluid helium, where mass numbers of particles occupy the same quantum state thanks to their not being subject to Pauli exclusion. In superfluid helium, this results in interesting properties like zero viscosity. Cooper Pairs I only touched on (but hey, at the time, the course was the only undergrad superconductors course in the UK…): surprisingly long-range ‘pairing’ of fermions (electrons; subject to Pauli exclusion – ie. not able to occupy the same quantum state) to form sort-of surrogate bosons, which can then all behave in a Bose-Einstein sort of stylee. The analogy being that ‘Cooper Pairs’ lead to zero electrical resistance just as condensed bosons lead to zero viscosity.

If memory serves, in 1994 it wasn’t quite clear that the analogy had any validity, but it was a nice idea. It looks, from this brief report, that it might: I’m certainly gobsmacked that atoms (nuclei?) can behave in a Cooper Pair-like manner, whatever temperature they’re at.

It’s also worth noting that this is already being misreported. I first saw mention on Slashdot, who’s submittor has taken two disconnected parts of the release and conflated them to report that the scientists predict “‘room-temperature solid” superconductors.’ Not in the Yahoo story, they don’t. It’s a reasonable extension, but it’s not what the report actually says.

Auditions

Evil sod that I am, I thoroughly enjoy putting wannabe-presenters through the mill in auditions. Happily, today’s likely lot were pretty good; certainly, nobody shamed themselves. A couple we’ll be frank with, but one or two were genuinely excellent.

It was an interesting exercise – we’re feeling our way to a new art show that’s both radical and (like most of my ideas at the moment) downright bleedin’ obvious, and the day was terrifically useful in convincing us that we might just be on to something. It’s certainly a reminder that the arrogance of television is all-pervasive, and waiting for people to come to us is plain silly. We have to get out there and find the next generation of talent. The BBC expend huge effort in doing just that: we, on the other hand, sit around agonising over how much better-staffed they are. Pfah!

Meanwhile: James Bachman’s first play with GarageBand is running merrily in iTunes at the moment. James – you should send that to David Holmes for the Ocean’s 12 soundtrack.

It’s a measure of Chairman Jobs’ Reality Distortion Field that, despite my having no musical talent whatsoever, I desperately want to get my hands on this software.

Lost in Translation

Terrific film. Yeah, sure, so the portrayal of Japan and its people is two-dimensional – give it up, that’s not what the film’s about. Tokyo is a shorthand, a way of nudging at that dissonance we all feel at times. Alienation brings it into focus; the film could have been made in Berlin, or Rome, or Reykjavik. Or Glasgow, for that matter.

Bill Murray is stonkingly good, Scarlett Johanssen doesn’t have a whole heap to do except smile wanly while wearing knickers, but that’s harder than one suspects, no? And Tokyo looks enticingly exciting, in the right sort of arm’s-length style. Plot mavens may notice that fairly exactly nothing happens, but it happens with such glorious style and surety, I was delighted to let the detail and photography infuse.

And the closing music is an old Jesus and Mary Chain track, for heaven’s sake! How perfect can it get? Mum, Dad – I’ll set you up with the DVD in due course, don’t you worry.

Now… where’s my copy of Darklands gone?

MyDoom

Today, I received six emails that would appear, on cursory inspection, to be carrying the MyDoom trojan (not ‘virus,’ surely?). All the messages were, curiously, to my How2.co.uk account, not the quernstone addresses. Nevertheless, this is the first time I’ve received contaminated mail during the widely-publicised outbreak, and I’m absolutely delighted. SoBig.F et al made me feel like a total outcast.

Of course, since I’m on a Mac, the ‘virii’ are entirely harmless. Well, I suppose I could run them in Virtual PC, just for kicks and all, but there’s only so far I’m willing to go to prove a point.

Furl

I shall be playing with Furl soon. Some initial comments on the concept:

  • Yes, this sort of thing should exist
  • While their FAQ does mention export options, I’d still rather the back-end were under my control. I do see merit in being able to cross-reference other peoples’ Furled entries, however, so I could be persuaded
  • It annoys me that the greatest advance in browser technology since Mosaic has been tabbed windows, and that this sort of thing isn’t already commonplace.
  • iRemember is the only piece of software from Mac OS 9 that I miss; it indexed every web page I visited, so I could find it again. It worked transparently and terrifically.
  • Agent Frank is also interesting, but worked rather badly last time I tried it out and now appears orphaned.